So I do not think we will see an exact rollout like 2008 but something with a similar endpoint: We enter a recession for many reasons and we get into a situation where not enough entities (for residential it would be people and for commercial it would be companies) pay their rent/mortgage. The chance of a recession in the next 2 years is much higher than not. There are only a few people out there saying there is a chance of no recession - but even they all say it is more probably than normal we have a recession in the coming 2 years. The debate kind of has shifted recently to how bad the recession will be. Hell... Some people like me think we are already in a recession right now (last time I check the definition of recession was 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth and we already saw that in 2022).
What stocks/etfs or other investments should a person put their money if they think the time is soon for people/companies to not be able to pay their bills. Not a technical analysis at all but my local casino is dead quiet. The local bar is quiet. The layoffs in my area are beginning already. Part of me thinks to just buy the short leveraged Nasdaq Monday (SQQQ) - and if anyone cares to know... SQQQ is at a 1 year low as of recently. The VIX is near a 2 year low as of Friday. Things will probably be ugly this next few weeks in all honesty. The only saving grace would be an announcement of more layoffs to come, which would spike many company's stock price - until the bloodbath begins and less have a job. I know I am ranting but hear me out on my question: Where should those of us who think real estate in general is a bust over the next 2 years invest?
[link] [comments] https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/12fktp3/what_stocks_to_buy_if_i_believe_residential_and/
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